Aliases
Carnival Phantasm, カーニバル・ファンタズム, Карнавальный Фантазм
S20SUMMER 2011OVA
Branch
Part of this franchise
concluded
Announced
In production
Releasing
Completed
Carnival Phantasm is an adaption of the manga "Take Moon" by Type-Moon's Eri Takenashi, to celebrate Type-Moon's 10th Anniversary.
Carnival Phantasm shows parodies and new stories loosely based on Type-Moon's original works like Melty Blood, Fate/Stay Night, Tsukihime, and more.
Carnival Phantasm shows parodies and new stories loosely based on Type-Moon's original works like Melty Blood, Fate/Stay Night, Tsukihime, and more.
Last updated
Aug 31, 2026, 08:21 AM
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
20.0
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 12 days ago
Top reasons
- Studio bandwidth - Lerche has no other concurrent active productions
- Cross-platform audience rating - Weighted audience rating 80.0
- Cross-platform popularity index - Aggregate reach of ~51,084 followers
Runway
Feasibility warning
NoneSource material looks exhausted, so near-term sequel odds are capped.
Near-term probability is capped at 20% until confirmed evidence lands.
Financial & Commercial67
Production Feasibility35
Audience Reception83
Strategic Priors54
Fandom Engagement50
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedAug 31, 2026, 08:21 AM
Next scheduled11 days ago
Renewal FAQ
Carnival Phantasm renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Carnival Phantasm getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Carnival Phantasm has a 20% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Carnival Phantasm be renewed?
- Carnival Phantasm currently scores 20 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Carnival Phantasm's renewal probability?
- Carnival Phantasm's CourScore is 20 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 77 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 1,325 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 59,039 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| ann | rating | GLOBAL | 7.16 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 13 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 11 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 332 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | mark count | JP | 219 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | score mean | JP | 84 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 23 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 46 | Aug 30, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | favorites | GLOBAL | 158 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 17,705 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 1,232 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 78.38 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 127,169 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 212,764 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 63,559 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 45 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 10,639 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 79,162 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 198,853 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 15,661,997 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.59 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 24,127 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 78.7 | Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 75 | Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 8.18 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 32 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 68 | Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 0 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 0 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 20,721 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 20,721 | Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |