Aliases
Firefly Wedding, Hotaru no Yomeiri, ホタルの嫁入り
S1FALL 2026TVNext airing Oct 9, 2026
Part of this franchise
in_production
Announced
In production
Releasing
Completed
On the surface, Satoko has it all—she’s beautiful, the daughter of a nobleman, and at a prime age for marriage. Unfortunately, she is also quite ill and only has a short time left to live. Before she can secure a marriage that will redeem her worth in her family’s eyes, she finds herself the target of the mysterious assassin Shinpei, and her plans are put in jeopardy. In order to save herself, she makes a desperate proposal—of marriage! When it comes to love, however, Shinpei takes “until death do we part” seriously.
(Source: VIZ Media)
(Source: VIZ Media)
Last updated
Aug 31, 2026, 01:51 AM
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
59.3
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 12 days ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Source material runway assessed as 'ok'
- Committee renewal track record - Lead committee members (david production, Fuji TV) renew 14% of productions, above the catalogue average of 3%
- Trailer reception (YouTube) - Official trailer has 723,089 views
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial52
Production Feasibility81
Audience Reception58
Strategic Priors50
Fandom Engagement41
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedAug 31, 2026, 01:51 AM
Next scheduled12 days ago
Renewal FAQ
Firefly Wedding renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Firefly Wedding getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Firefly Wedding has a 59% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Firefly Wedding be renewed?
- Firefly Wedding currently scores 59 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Firefly Wedding's renewal probability?
- Firefly Wedding's CourScore is 59 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 188 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 14,551 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 2 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 25 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 356 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 18,918 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | mark count | JP | 19 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | score mean | JP | 74 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 39 | Sep 6, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 24 | Aug 30, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 159 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 79 | Sep 3, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 26,940 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 26,645 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.99 | Sep 3, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 31,003 | Sep 3, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Sep 3, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 13 | Sep 3, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 189 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga latest volume sales | JP | 33,800 | Sep 6, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga volume trend pct | JP | -11.98 | Sep 6, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 79 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.76 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 47 | Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| comments 7d | GLOBAL | 70 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| mentions 1d | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| mentions 7d | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| score 7d | GLOBAL | 986 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| thread count | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| threads 7d | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 4,564 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 78 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 1.78 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 258 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| x official jp | posts 7d | JP | 20 | Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| x official jp | silent days | JP | 0 | Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 36,144,520 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 42,100 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | trailer likes | GLOBAL | 34,461 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | trailer views | GLOBAL | 858,354 | Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 20,937 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 20,937 | Jun 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |