Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore weighs signals for an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
22.3
CourScore measures renewal signals out of 100. It is not a calibrated probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 8 hours ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Estimated material for 5.25 further cours
- Merchandise catalogue breadth (MFC) - 461 merch items catalogued
- BD/DVD sales per volume (MangaCodex) - This season's discs averaged 5,200 copies per volume
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial53
Production Feasibility56
Audience Reception52
Strategic Priors48
Fandom Engagement36
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedOct 28, 2026, 06:20 AM
Next scheduledin 16 hours
Renewal FAQ
Karneval renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Karneval getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Karneval has a 22/100 renewal signal score. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Karneval be renewed?
- Karneval currently scores 22 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Scores from 70 indicate strong renewal signals; scores from 85 are labelled very likely.
- What is Karneval's renewal probability?
- Karneval's CourScore is 22 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily signal score out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 64 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 40 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 5,294 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 1 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| ann | rating | GLOBAL | 6.66 | Oct 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 13 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 9 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 918 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | mark count | JP | 508 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| filmarks | score mean | JP | 68 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 75 | Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 30 | Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | momentum log ratio | GLOBAL | -1.31 | Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | favorites | GLOBAL | 36 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 2,232 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 4,345 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 71.79 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 163 | Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 9,140 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 18,950 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 8,417 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.96 | Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 38,259 | Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 28 | Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 583 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | bd sales avg | JP | 5,200 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga circulation | JP | 3,000,000 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga latest volume sales | JP | 18,700 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga volume trend pct | JP | -39.48 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 160 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 28 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 8.26 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | entry likes | GLOBAL | 108 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | figures total | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | goods total | GLOBAL | 377 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | media total | GLOBAL | 84 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | merch total | GLOBAL | 461 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 571,242 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 34,103 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 2,692,869 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.64 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 4,944 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 69.8 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 69 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 0.58 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 2 | Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 9,878 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 33 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 10,532 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 10,532 | Jun 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |