Is Natsu ga Hajimaru. getting a new season?

According to Courcast's latest analysis, Natsu ga Hajimaru. has a 52% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and reflects fandom momentum, streaming signals, and franchise history. Visit https://courcast.com/title/natsu-ga-hajimaru-summer-2021 for the full breakdown.

Will Natsu ga Hajimaru. be renewed?

Natsu ga Hajimaru. currently has a 52% renewal probability on Courcast. Signals driving this score include online discussion volume, sequel history in the franchise, and platform engagement data - all updated daily.

What is Natsu ga Hajimaru.'s renewal probability?

Natsu ga Hajimaru.'s CourScore is 52% as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single probability estimate. See the full score breakdown at https://courcast.com/title/natsu-ga-hajimaru-summer-2021.

Aliases

CalorieMate web movie, カロリーメイト web movie, Surges, Natsu ga Hajimaru., 夏がはじまる。, Summer Begins, With Surgical Precision, Метод Михайлова, Surge, VTC

S1SUMMER 2021ONA

Part of this franchise

concluded

Announced

In production

Releasing

Completed

Natsu ga Hajimaru.

夏がはじまる。

X Reddit

A CalorieMate web movie directed by Takumi Shiga featuring the song "Surges" by Orangestar, with vocals by Kase and Loin. The video carries an eclectic animation style, as the story follows high school students from various clubs pouring their effort into sports in the second year of the coronavirus pandemic.

(Source: Anime News Network, edited)

Note: Initially published on the Otsuka Pharmaceutical Official YouTube channel in July 2021, it was later reuploaded on Orangestar's YouTube channel under the song title "Surges", republished on August 12, 2021.

Last updated

Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM

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Natsu ga Hajimaru.
2021
Viewing
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Renewal pulse

Courcast score breakdown

CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.

CourScore

51.6

CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.

Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 40 minutes ago

Top reasons

Studio bandwidth - Space Neko Company has no other concurrent active productions
Crunchyroll Like Index - 8,123 likes / 8,144 reactions on recent episodes
Cross-platform audience rating - Weighted audience rating 63.9

Runway

Anime original

This is an anime original, not an adaptation, so there is no source material to run down - renewal turns on sales and popularity rather than runway.

Financial & Commercial48

Production Feasibility62

Audience Reception58

Strategic Priors29

Fandom Engagement51

CourScore history

CourScore over time

Last analysedJul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM

Next scheduledin 23 hours

Renewal FAQ

Natsu ga Hajimaru. renewal questions

Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.

Is Natsu ga Hajimaru. getting a new season?: According to Courcast's latest analysis, Natsu ga Hajimaru. has a 52% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
Will Natsu ga Hajimaru. be renewed?: Natsu ga Hajimaru. currently scores 52 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
What is Natsu ga Hajimaru.'s renewal probability?: Natsu ga Hajimaru.'s CourScore is 52 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.

Latest signals

Fresh telemetry

Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.

Source	Metric	Geo	Value	Collected
crunchyroll	episode count	GLOBAL	92	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
tmdb	vote count	GLOBAL	0	Jul 16, 2026, 12:00 AM
tmdb	popularity	GLOBAL	2.72	Jul 16, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	episode dislikes	GLOBAL	21	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
niconico	episode mylists	JP	44	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	series available	GLOBAL	1	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
niconico	episode views	JP	6,611	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	episode likes	GLOBAL	8,123	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
niconico	episode comments	JP	235	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	uploads 7d	GLOBAL	25	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	views 7d	GLOBAL	13,579	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
google trends	interest weekly	GLOBAL	48	Jul 5, 2026, 12:00 AM
google trends	interest daily	GLOBAL	35	Jul 16, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	channel views total	GLOBAL	260,870	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	views 30d	GLOBAL	13,579	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
wikipedia	pageviews daily	EN.WIKIPEDIA	9	Jun 8, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	uploads 30d	GLOBAL	25	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	subscribers total	GLOBAL	1,290	Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	favorites	GLOBAL	11	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	average score	GLOBAL	62	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	members	GLOBAL	902	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	watching	GLOBAL	54	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	member count	GLOBAL	228	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	trending	GLOBAL	0	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	completed	GLOBAL	677	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
kitsu	member count	GLOBAL	56	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	plan to watch	GLOBAL	118	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	score mean	GLOBAL	65.8	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	popularity	GLOBAL	618	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	completion ratio	GLOBAL	0.55	Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 AM

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