Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru, つばさとホタル, Ribon Festa 2014, Ribbon Festa 2014, Tsubasa and Hotaru
S4WINTER 2014SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
concluded
Announced
In production
Releasing
Completed
The story revolves around Tsubasa Sonokawa, a 15-year old high school girl who fell in love with her upperclassman when he saved her after she fainted at the train station from anemia. She thought it was a meeting of fate, and visited him at his class every day. However, he told her that her feelings were "heavy," and he dumped her. She once again meets a boy after taking over her friend Yuri's job as boy's basketball team manager. She learns that she might have more of a connection with this boy named Aki than she first thought...
(Source: Anime News Network)
(Source: Anime News Network)
Last updated
Jul 27, 2026, 02:14 AM
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
55.8
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 2 days ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Source material runway assessed as 'ok'
- Cross-platform audience rating - Weighted audience rating 65.0
- Committee renewal track record - Lead committee members (J.C.STAFF) renew 7% of productions, above the catalogue average of 3%
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial52
Production Feasibility55
Audience Reception65
Strategic Priors50
Fandom Engagement59
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedJul 27, 2026, 02:14 AM
Next scheduledyesterday
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Tsubasa to Hotaru has a 56% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru currently scores 56 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru's renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru's CourScore is 56 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ann | rating | GLOBAL | 7.09 | Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 15 | Apr 30, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.35 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga volume trend pct | JP | 5.74 | Jul 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 1,473 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 5,834 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 67.8 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 4,366 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.71 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga latest volume sales | JP | 108,600 | Jul 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 1 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 17,317 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 806 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 31 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 61 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | favorites | GLOBAL | 2 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 10,270 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 66.67 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 5,212 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 7,973 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 7 | Jul 20, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 78 | Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |