Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru, つばさとホタル, Ribon Festa 2014, Ribbon Festa 2014, Tsubasa and Hotaru
WINTER 2014SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
concluded
Announced
In production
Releasing
Completed
The story revolves around Tsubasa Sonokawa, a 15-year old high school girl who fell in love with her upperclassman when he saved her after she fainted at the train station from anemia. She thought it was a meeting of fate, and visited him at his class every day. However, he told her that her feelings were "heavy," and he dumped her. She once again meets a boy after taking over her friend Yuri's job as boy's basketball team manager. She learns that she might have more of a connection with this boy named Aki than she first thought...
(Source: Anime News Network)
(Source: Anime News Network)
Last updated
Oct 28, 2026, 06:24 AM
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore weighs signals for an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
22.3
CourScore measures renewal signals out of 100. It is not a calibrated probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 7 hours ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Estimated material for 1.68 further cours
- Trailer reception (YouTube) - Official trailer has 421,590 views
- Committee renewal track record - Lead committee members (J.C.STAFF) have a smoothed catalogue continuation rate of 19%, above the catalogue average of 14%
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial50
Production Feasibility62
Audience Reception48
Strategic Priors43
Fandom Engagement50
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedOct 28, 2026, 06:24 AM
Next scheduledin 17 hours
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Tsubasa to Hotaru has a 22/100 renewal signal score. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru currently scores 22 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Scores from 70 indicate strong renewal signals; scores from 85 are labelled very likely.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru's renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru's CourScore is 22 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily signal score out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 61 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 27 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 4,509 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| ann | rating | GLOBAL | 7.24 | Oct 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 91 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 93 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 8,902 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 31 | Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | momentum log ratio | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | favorites | GLOBAL | 2 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 1,474 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 8,047 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 66.67 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 55 | Oct 2, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 10,328 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 17,472 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 5,916 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.41 | Oct 2, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 15,031 | Oct 2, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Oct 2, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Oct 2, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 815 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga latest volume sales | JP | 108,600 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangacodex | manga volume trend pct | JP | 5.74 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.43 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | entry likes | GLOBAL | 2 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | figures total | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | goods total | GLOBAL | 1 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | media total | GLOBAL | 11 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | merch added 30d | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | merch total | GLOBAL | 12 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 1 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 346 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 33,836 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.71 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 5,246 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 67.7 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 65 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 223 | Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | trailer views | GLOBAL | 421,590 | Oct 14, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |