Is Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai getting a new season?

According to Courcast's latest analysis, Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai has a 51% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and reflects fandom momentum, streaming signals, and franchise history. Visit https://courcast.com/title/uma-musume-bnw-no-chikai-fall-2018 for the full breakdown.

Will Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai be renewed?

Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai currently has a 51% renewal probability on Courcast. Signals driving this score include online discussion volume, sequel history in the franchise, and platform engagement data - all updated daily.

What is Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai's renewal probability?

Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai's CourScore is 51% as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single probability estimate. See the full score breakdown at https://courcast.com/title/uma-musume-bnw-no-chikai-fall-2018.

Aliases

Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai, ウマ娘「BNWの誓い」, Uma Musume: Pretty Derby - BNW no Chikai, Uma Musume: Pretty Derby Specials, ウマ娘プリティーダービー BNWの誓い, Umamusume: Pretty Derby Specials

S416FALL 2018OVA

Part of this franchise

concluded

Announced

In production

Releasing

Completed

Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai

ウマ娘「BNWの誓い」

X Reddit

Bundled with the television anime's fourth Blu-ray Disc release.

It will center on Narita Taishin, Winning Ticket, and Biwa Hayahide.

Last updated

Aug 31, 2026, 10:04 AM

Franchise overview

Franchise timeline

Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.

View franchise tree

Renewal pulse

Courcast score breakdown

CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.

CourScore

50.7

CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.

Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 11 days ago

Top reasons

Trailer reception (YouTube) - Official trailer has 283,957 views
Cross-platform audience rating - Weighted audience rating 73.8
Cross-platform popularity index - Aggregate reach of ~8,495 followers

Runway

Unknown

Source runway is unclear, so feasibility is treated as unknown.

Financial & Commercial51

Production Feasibility32

Audience Reception78

Strategic Priors43

Fandom Engagement50

CourScore history

CourScore over time

Last analysedAug 31, 2026, 10:04 AM

Next scheduled10 days ago

Renewal FAQ

Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai renewal questions

Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.

Is Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai getting a new season?: According to Courcast's latest analysis, Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai has a 51% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
Will Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai be renewed?: Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai currently scores 51 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
What is Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai's renewal probability?: Uma Musume: BNW no Chikai's CourScore is 51 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.

Latest signals

Fresh telemetry

Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.

Source	Metric	Geo	Value	Collected
anilist	average score	GLOBAL	71	Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	favorites	GLOBAL	131	Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	popularity	GLOBAL	14,134	Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
anilist	trending	GLOBAL	1	Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	episode count	GLOBAL	76	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	episode dislikes	GLOBAL	60	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	episode likes	GLOBAL	5,608	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
crunchyroll	series available	GLOBAL	1	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
filmarks	mark count	JP	499	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
filmarks	score mean	JP	76	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
google trends	interest daily	GLOBAL	0	Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
google trends	interest weekly	GLOBAL	18	Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 AM
justwatch	jp platform count	JP	2	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
kitsu	member count	GLOBAL	1,476	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
kitsu	rating rank	GLOBAL	3,750	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
kitsu	score mean	GLOBAL	72.72	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	completed	GLOBAL	24,780	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	members	GLOBAL	35,382	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	plan to watch	GLOBAL	8,687	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
mal	watching	GLOBAL	1,228	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
mangaupdates	bayesian rating	GLOBAL	7.39	Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	completion ratio	GLOBAL	0.58	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	member count	GLOBAL	3,919	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
shikimori	score mean	GLOBAL	71.5	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
simkl	score mean	GLOBAL	74	Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM
tmdb	popularity	GLOBAL	4.03	Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
tmdb	vote count	GLOBAL	3	Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM
wikipedia	pageviews daily	EN.WIKIPEDIA	19	May 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
x	followers count	GLOBAL	368,949	Jul 20, 2026, 12:00 AM
x official jp	silent days	JP	135	Aug 10, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	channel views total	GLOBAL	0	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	subscribers total	GLOBAL	0	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	trailer views	GLOBAL	284,065	Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	uploads 30d	GLOBAL	25	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	uploads 7d	GLOBAL	25	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	views 30d	GLOBAL	20,721	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
youtube	views 7d	GLOBAL	20,721	Jun 29, 2026, 12:00 AM

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