Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015), つばさとホタル, Ribon x Oha Suta Specials, Tsubasa and Hotaru (2015)
S2WINTER 2015SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
53.9
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 5 hours ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Source material runway assessed as 'ok'
- Format continuity - Format (SPECIAL) matches prior mainline entries
- Committee renewal track record - Lead committee members (J.C.STAFF) renew 7% of productions, above the catalogue average of 3%
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial45
Production Feasibility59
Audience Reception60
Strategic Priors48
Fandom Engagement73
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedJul 28, 2026, 10:32 AM
Next scheduledin 19 hours
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) has a 54% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) currently scores 54 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s CourScore is 54 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 3 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 55 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 4.03 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.41 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 8 | Jun 5, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 0 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 0 | Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.35 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 14,954 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 0 | Jul 20, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 55 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 14 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 448 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 2,973 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 62.8 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 1,837 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.68 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 3,363 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 6,981 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 394 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 10,527 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 63.02 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 1,841 | Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 AM |