Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015), つばさとホタル, Ribon x Oha Suta Specials, Tsubasa and Hotaru (2015)
WINTER 2015SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
Evidence
Announcement status
Official announcement records with supporting citations.
Confirmed
TV seasonOfficial announcement logged Jan 1, 2016, 12:00 AM.
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore weighs signals for an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
Confirmed
CourScore measures renewal signals out of 100. It is not a calibrated probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 13 hours ago
Top reasons
- Strong renewal expectation - Strong signals suggest renewal is expected.
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial0
Production Feasibility0
Audience Reception0
Strategic Priors0
Fandom Engagement0
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedOct 28, 2026, 06:22 AM
Next scheduled12 hours ago
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) getting a new season?
- Yes - Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) has an officially confirmed continuation. See the Announcement Status section above for the full details and citations.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) has already been confirmed for a new entry - it has cleared the renewal hurdle. See the Announcement Status section for the source citation.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s CourScore is 100 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily signal score out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 55 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 12 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 1,882 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 67 | Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 93 | Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 8,905 | Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 25, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 0 | Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 450 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 10,608 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 63.02 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 55 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 3,395 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 7,062 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 3,011 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.41 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 14,995 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 397 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.43 | Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | entry likes | GLOBAL | 2 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | figures total | GLOBAL | 0 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | goods total | GLOBAL | 1 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | media total | GLOBAL | 11 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mfc | merch total | GLOBAL | 12 | Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 1 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 346 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 33,836 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.67 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 1,854 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 62.7 | Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 58 | Sep 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 4.03 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 3 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 8 | Jun 5, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |