Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015), つばさとホタル, Ribon x Oha Suta Specials, Tsubasa and Hotaru (2015)
S44WINTER 2015SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
54.1
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 12 days ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Source material runway assessed as 'ok'
- Format continuity - Format (SPECIAL) matches prior mainline entries
- Crunchyroll Like Index - 8,894 likes / 8,987 reactions on recent episodes
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial50
Production Feasibility59
Audience Reception52
Strategic Priors48
Fandom Engagement74
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedAug 31, 2026, 01:49 AM
Next scheduled11 days ago
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) has a 54% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015) currently scores 54 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2015)'s CourScore is 54 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 55 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 13 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 1,866 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 0 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 106 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 93 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 8,894 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 0 | Aug 28, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 0 | Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 448 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 10,564 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 63.02 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 55 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 3,381 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 7,024 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 2,990 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.41 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 14,995 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 398 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.43 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 1 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 346 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 33,791 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.67 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 1,851 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 62.7 | Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 4.03 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 3 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 8 | Jun 5, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |