Aliases
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016), つばさとホタル, Ribon x Oha Suta Specials
S40SPRING 2016SPECIAL
Part of this franchise
concluded
Announced
In production
Releasing
Completed
The story revolves around Tsubasa Sonokawa, a 15-year old high school girl who fell in love with her upperclassman when he saved her after she fainted at the train station from anemia. She thought it was a meeting of fate, and visited him at his class every day. However, he told her that her feelings were "heavy," and he dumped her. She once again meets a boy after taking over her friend Yuri's job as boy's basketball team manager. She learns that she might have more of a connection with this boy named Aki than she first thought...
(Source: Anime News Network)
(Source: Anime News Network)
Last updated
Aug 31, 2026, 01:49 AM
Franchise overview
Franchise timeline
Review every Courcast-tracked season for this series and jump between entries.
Renewal pulse
Courcast score breakdown
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months, blending attention velocity, completion strength, and catalogue health.
CourScore
49.4
CourScore is the probability of an official sequel announcement within 18 months.
Signal coverage: 100% • Signal freshness: High • Updated 12 days ago
Top reasons
- Source runway - Source material runway assessed as 'ok'
- Format continuity - Format (SPECIAL) matches prior mainline entries
- Crunchyroll Like Index - 8,892 likes / 8,984 reactions on recent episodes
Runway
Ok
Source runway looks healthy for a continuation.
Financial & Commercial49
Production Feasibility59
Audience Reception53
Strategic Priors47
Fandom Engagement18
CourScore history
CourScore over time
Last analysedAug 31, 2026, 01:49 AM
Next scheduled11 days ago
Renewal FAQ
Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016) renewal questions
Common questions about this title's renewal prospects, answered by Courcast's daily analysis.
- Is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016) getting a new season?
- According to Courcast's latest analysis, Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016) has a 49% renewal probability. This score is updated daily and blends fandom momentum, streaming signals, source-material runway, and franchise history. Check back regularly for the latest forecast.
- Will Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016) be renewed?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016) currently scores 49 out of 100 on Courcast. Signals driving this estimate include online discussion volume, sequel history within the franchise, and platform engagement data - all recalculated daily. Titles scoring above 70 are considered Very Likely to receive a continuation.
- What is Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016)'s renewal probability?
- Tsubasa to Hotaru (2016)'s CourScore is 49 as of the latest update. CourScore is Courcast's proprietary metric that aggregates over a dozen renewal signals - from source-material runway to social buzz - into a single daily-updated probability out of 100.
Latest signals
Fresh telemetry
Courcast watches every connected signal to surface the freshest indicators of momentum.
| Source | Metric | Geo | Value | Collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| anilist | average score | GLOBAL | 56 | Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | favorites | GLOBAL | 11 | Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | popularity | GLOBAL | 1,548 | Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| anilist | trending | GLOBAL | 0 | Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode count | GLOBAL | 91 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode dislikes | GLOBAL | 93 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | episode likes | GLOBAL | 8,902 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| crunchyroll | series available | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest daily | GLOBAL | 0 | Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| google trends | interest weekly | GLOBAL | 0 | Aug 30, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | favorites | GLOBAL | 1 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | member count | GLOBAL | 516 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | rating rank | GLOBAL | 8,985 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| kitsu | score mean | GLOBAL | 65.41 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | chapters total | GLOBAL | 55 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | completed | GLOBAL | 2,787 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | members | GLOBAL | 5,717 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | plan to watch | GLOBAL | 2,420 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | rating | GLOBAL | 7.41 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source members | GLOBAL | 14,995 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mal | watching | GLOBAL | 300 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | chapters total | GLOBAL | 53 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | source status code | GLOBAL | 3 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangadex | volumes total | GLOBAL | 11 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| mangaupdates | bayesian rating | GLOBAL | 7.43 | Sep 10, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode comments | JP | 1 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode mylists | JP | 346 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| niconico | episode views | JP | 33,801 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| comments 7d | GLOBAL | 106 | Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| mentions 1d | GLOBAL | 1 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| mentions 7d | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| score 7d | GLOBAL | 5 | Jul 22, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| thread count | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| threads 7d | GLOBAL | 1 | Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 AM | |
| shikimori | completion ratio | GLOBAL | 0.58 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | member count | GLOBAL | 2,016 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| shikimori | score mean | GLOBAL | 62.8 | Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| simkl | score mean | GLOBAL | 58 | Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | popularity | GLOBAL | 4.03 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| tmdb | vote count | GLOBAL | 3 | Jun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| wikipedia | pageviews daily | EN.WIKIPEDIA | 8 | Jun 5, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | channel views total | GLOBAL | 260,870 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | subscribers total | GLOBAL | 1,290 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 30d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | uploads 7d | GLOBAL | 25 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 30d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |
| youtube | views 7d | GLOBAL | 13,579 | Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM |